About CrisisTrend

How dangerous is the US stock market right now, according to the indicators that once called a crisis?

What CrisisTrend is

Some well-known investors and economists used a specific set of indicators to call a past financial crisis. CrisisTrend takes each of those indicator sets and applies it to today's US market. Each pairing of a person, an indicator set and the crisis it predicted is one card. Every card shows a crisis score from 0 to 100, an estimated period range and the current reading of every indicator it uses.

CrisisTrend is an independent project. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by or in contact with any of the people on the site, or with any government agency, exchange or data provider. Every score and period range is derived by this site, not predicted by the person named.

What you will find

• Home — the risk monitor: every indicator's current reading.
• Crisis models — one table, one row per card.
• Encyclopedia — one page per indicator, listing every card that uses it.
• Methodology — how every score and period range is calculated, and why each range is as precise as it is.

Who it is for

• Anyone who wants to see how today's US market looks through the indicators that historically flagged a crisis.
• Anyone who wants to check the math: every formula and source is listed on the Methodology page.

The site covers the US stock market only and is in English only.

How we work

• Data updates automatically. Indicators are fetched from public sources on a schedule, and scores and period ranges are recalculated when the data changes. Nobody edits the numbers by hand.
• Every number has a source and a date. Each reading links to its public source and shows when it was last updated.
• No made-up data. If we cannot find a reliable public source, we leave the number out.
• No countdowns, no crash dates, no price predictions.
• Not advice. For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. See the Disclaimer.

Get in touch

Found a mistake, a broken link or a better source? Write to feedback@crisistrend.com or see the Contact page.